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European stock market rally looks very different to US

Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet account for almost all of S&P 500′s gains in the first quarter

Global indices have enjoyed a decent rebound in the first quarter of 2023. How big a part have big tech stocks played in that rebound? As already mentioned, the US rally has been a narrow affair. Three mega-cap tech stocks – Apple, Microsoft, and Google parent Alphabet – accounted for almost all of the S&P 500′s gains in the first quarter, said DataTrek Research.

The picture gets even more lopsided if you add in a fourth, chip giant Nvidia, which is up 85 per cent this year. Were it not for these four stocks, the S&P 500 would actually have slipped in the first quarter. The same phenomenon is evident in emerging markets, with just two tech stocks – Taiwan Semi and Tencent – accounting for all of the gains in the MSCI Emerging Markets this year. However, things look different in Japan, where tech stocks have played a much smaller role. This is even more true of Europe, where the two biggest tech stocks – Dutch semiconductor company ASML and German software firm SAP – account for just 12 per cent of the year-to-date gains in the MSCI Europe index.

Europe and Japan have outperformed the US thus far in 2023. This outperformance looks especially “impressive” given the fact the two regions have not relied on tech stocks, says DataTrek. A broad advance is a healthy advance, “and suggests these rallies are sustainable” into the second quarter.

Proinsias O'Mahony

Proinsias O'Mahony

Proinsias O’Mahony, a contributor to The Irish Times, writes the weekly Stocktake column